Tuesday, March 25, 2008

Poole retires, Bullard on board

St. Louis Fed Names Bullard to Succeed Retiring Poole (Update2)
Bullard's published research indicates that he, like Poole and Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, espouses a numeric inflation goal. A research paper that Bullard co-wrote last year said that ``independent central banks will set low positive inflation targets in economies that possess highly developed financial markets.''

In a research paper titled ``A Model of Near-Rational Exuberance,'' written in March 2007, and revised in January, Bullard and his co-authors said that too much reliance by economists and central bankers on their own judgment has drawbacks.
Drawbacks, yes-- namely, they can't stop relying on their own judgment. If they did, the Fed wouldn't have bowed to market pressures and lowered rates, setting the stage for the impending CPI bubble and the hyperinflation that will follow.

Where Is the Next Bubble?

The next bubble: Priming the markets for tomorrow's big crash

Sunday, March 23, 2008

Trimming the Investment Firms

Last week, the Times had a great article explaining the credit mess to the layperson:
Can’t Grasp Credit Crisis? Join the Club

Today it came out with another good article:
What Created This Monster?

I thought a hedge fund would collapse-- I didn't know an investment firm would.

I disagree with the first article that the crisis has been going on for 7 months (which would mean it started in September)-- I think it started in August with the first big dip in the market.

More news that the crisis is spreading into other areas of credit:
CIT Taps Credit Lines and Talks of Asset Sales

Time to short Visa?
Visa Has a $45 Billion Debut on Wall St.

The trend for IPOs these days is to start them off big, then bleed them [investors] dry:
The Blackstone Group

(Which I always confuse with Blackrock, Inc, which is on the good side of this equation.)

Reminds me of the end of the tech boom.